Intel regains market share over AMD in Q1

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It was fun while it lasted.

Market analysts say that Intel regained large chunks of market share from AMD in the first quarter. Analyst firm iSuppli says Intel’s market share jumped from 75.7 percent in the fourth quarter to 80.2 percent in the first quarter. AMD, meanwhile, sank from 15.7 percent to 11.1 percent.

Sam Bhavnani of Current Analysis, meanwhile, broke it down by type of computer for U.S. retail (about 11 percent of the worldwide market). In desktops, Intel rose from a 46 percent share to a 58 percent share while it saw its notebook market share rise from 66 percent to 72 percent.

Mercury Research, often considered the unofficial standard for Intel-AMD market share issues, will weigh in soon.

The Intel-AMD cycle almost at times seems to be a natural phenomenon. Intel will become complacent. AMD will release a relatively advanced chip design that will let them gain market share. Intel will stem its losses through manufacturing and then mount a comeback by releasing a new series of advanced chips along with a lot of price cuts. Red ink and dire fears of AMD’s demise will follow, to be preceded only by a comeback.

This last cycle was a little longer than usual. Typically, Intel has three good years and one bad year, while AMD has three bad years followed by good one. With Opteron and Athlon 64, AMD got 2.5 really good years. And with Barcelona, a chip coming this summer, a comeback may be a little more rapid than usual.

Mac Global Market Share Up 20%

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You don’t hear much from Apple (AAPL) about the Mac’s worldwide market share, perhaps because it’s not as good a story as its U.S. share, which by most accounts grew from 4% to 5% over the past year (see Mac Sales Soar).

But Mac sales are growing almost as fast overseas — albeit from a lower base — according to the latest data from IDC. The chart below shows Mac global market share growing from 2.1% last year to 2.6% in the quarter that just ended, a shade under 20%.

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PiperJaffray analyst Gene Munster, who had expected the Mac to lose market share in Q1 of calendar 2007 (which Apple refers to as Q2), was pleasantly surprised that it had inched up a bit from the Christmas quarter, from 2.5% to 2.6%. And he believes it’s uphill from here for the rest of the year. AppleInsider summarizes the letter Munster sent to subscribers yesterday:

First and foremost, he said, the company’s dominance in the portable sector will only help to amplify Mac appeal as the industry continues its trends away from clunky desktop systems and towards notebooks. He also noted that iPod and iTunes users on the Windows side are increasingly switching to Macs because they offer superior media management.

“And with iPhone and Apple TV, Apple has carried its lead in music into two new product categories,” Munster told clients. “These products will further expand its footprint in a market with growing demand for simple solutions for digital content management. So far Dell and HP have failed to deliver PCs that rival the Mac’s superior media experience.”

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